Arthur Fils vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π«π·Arthur Fils
#11 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
9Title4 meetings Β· sets 5β5

πΊπΈBrandon Nakashima
#17 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
3Arthur Fils and Brandon Nakashima have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Fils leads 2β0. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2β0. Across all meetings Fils has taken 5 sets to Nakashima's 5. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Fils won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fils | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fils | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 20/30 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/7 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 10/37 | 29% | 16/55 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 25/25 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fils 1, Nakashima 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fils
π₯ Big Hitter
Nakashima
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Aug 22, 2023
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
May 26, 2023
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay Β· Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fils | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Fils | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 43% | 9/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 10% | 2/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9β2 | 16β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +17.6% | +38.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.94u | +8.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 13 |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | USA β CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Fils has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Nakashima's 80%).
| Opponent | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 16 60 | L 57 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 36 | W 76 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 64 76 | W 76 36 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 75 61 63 | W 63 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 76 75 | W 62 62 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 63 75 | W 63 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 76 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 67 64 | W 26 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Alex de Minaur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Yannick Hanfmann
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 40β61 matches
| Metric | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 61% |
| Sets won | 70% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.