Arthur Fils vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Fils and Brandon Nakashima have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Fils leads 2–0. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2–0. Across all meetings Fils has taken 5 sets to Nakashima's 5. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Fils won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fils | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fils | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 23/35 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 31% | 16/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 29/29 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fils 1, Nakashima 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fils
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Arthur Fils and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 15, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 22, 2023
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 26, 2023
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fils | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Fils | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 52% | 11/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 5% | 1/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–3 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +11.1% | +27.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.89u | +5.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Fils's 70%).
| Opponent | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 57 63 36 | W 76 75 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 57 64 46 | W 26 62 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 75 | L 57 36 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 63 62 | W 67 64 57 61 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 26 61 61 | W 76 62 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 64 76 | W 61 36 107 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 36 | W 76 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 75 61 63 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Luca Van Assche
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Damm
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–60 matches
| Metric | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 60% |
| Sets won | 68% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fils | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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