Anna Kalinskaya vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#21 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6wAnna Kalinskaya and Madison Keys have met 3 times since 2022; Madison Keys leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Keys leads 2–1. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 3 sets to Keys's 4. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 29/30 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 1, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anna Kalinskaya and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 3, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 24, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +9.6% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kalinskaya's 50%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L | L 61 67 57 |
| Alina Korneeva | W 76 64 | W 75 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 46 76 75 | W 61 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 63 06 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 67 64 | W 63 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 57 | L 67 67 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 64 67 | W 46 63 62 |
| Diane Parry | W 64 36 76 | L |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 57 26 | W 60 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 62 61 | W 60 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xin Yu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anna Blinkova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–50 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 68% |
| Sets won | 61% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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