Anna Kalinskaya vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#22 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Leylah Fernandez have met 2 times since 2021; Leylah Fernandez leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Abierto De Guadalajara - Guadalajara in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Fernandez leads 2–0. Fernandez has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fernandez leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 1 sets to Fernandez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/48 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 26/27 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 0, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anna Kalinskaya and Leylah Fernandez are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 27, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Final
Mar 9, 2021
Abierto De Guadalajara - Guadalajara
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -0.8% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.11u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kalinskaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fernandez's 30%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 06 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 67 64 | L 36 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 57 | L 26 26 |
| Janice Tjen | W 16 63 76 | L 16 67 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 64 | W 64 36 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 76 | L 46 67 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 46 16 | L 46 46 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 46 76 75 | L 75 46 67 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 46 | W 36 63 62 |
| Dalma Galfi | L 36 36 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Mccartney Kessler
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Janice Tjen
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daria Kasatkina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Belinda Bencic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–51 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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