Anna Kalinskaya vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnna Kalinskaya
#21 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 1โ4

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#25 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
TitleAnna Kalinskaya and Leylah Fernandez have met 2 times since 2021; Leylah Fernandez leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Abierto De Guadalajara - Guadalajara in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Fernandez leads 2โ0. Fernandez has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fernandez leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 1 sets to Fernandez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 29/30 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 0, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Fernandez
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 27, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard ยท Final
Mar 9, 2021
Abierto De Guadalajara - Guadalajara
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ4 | 11โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +9.6% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Kalinskaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fernandez's 40%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 64 | L 26 64 36 |
| Maja Chwalinska | L 67 36 | W 16 64 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 57 | L 61 46 36 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 64 63 | L 67 46 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 61 61 | W 63 62 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L | W 64 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 06 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 67 64 | L 36 26 |
| Janice Tjen | W 16 63 76 | L 16 67 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 64 | W 64 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xin Yu Wang
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anna Blinkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 48โ58 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 55% |
| Sets won | 61% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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