Anna Kalinskaya vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#21 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Daria Kasatkina have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Kalinskaya leads 2–1. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 5 sets to Kasatkina's 5. Their most recent meeting: Anna Kalinskaya won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 29/30 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 1, Kasatkina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Anna Kalinskaya.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 10, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 20, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 25, 2018
Moscow
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | +9.6% | -31.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | -3.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kalinskaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kasatkina's 30%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | W 64 62 | L 64 67 46 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 75 26 63 | W 16 76 75 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 64 63 | L 36 26 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 76 | L 62 67 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 67 64 | L 36 67 |
| Janice Tjen | W 16 63 76 | W 67 61 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 64 26 76 | L 57 64 46 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 63 16 57 | W 64 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 61 16 | L 75 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xin Yu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anna Blinkova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–48 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 51% |
| Sets won | 61% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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