Anna Kalinskaya vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnna Kalinskaya
#22 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 5โ5

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#59 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Daria Kasatkina have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Kalinskaya leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 5 sets to Kasatkina's 5. Their most recent meeting: Anna Kalinskaya won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/48 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 26/27 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 1, Kasatkina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Anna Kalinskaya.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 10, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 20, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jul 25, 2018
Moscow
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 3โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | -0.8% | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.11u | -5.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 761 mi ยท 1,225 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | AUT โ CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Kalinskaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Kasatkina's 13%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 76 | L 62 67 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 67 64 | L 36 67 |
| Janice Tjen | W 16 63 76 | W 67 61 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 64 26 76 | L 57 64 46 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 46 76 75 | L 67 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 61 16 | L 75 16 16 |
| Sonay Kartal | W 76 61 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Mccartney Kessler
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Janice Tjen
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daria Kasatkina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Belinda Bencic
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ48 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 43% |
| Sets won | 58% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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