Anna Blinkova vs Aryna SabalenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Blinkova
#73 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Blinkova and Aryna Sabalenka have met 3 times since 2020; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Blinkova has taken 1 sets to Sabalenka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Blinkova | Sabalenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Blinkova | Aryna Sabalenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 28/37 | 86% | 44/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 12/31 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 21/68 | 23% | 14/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 23/35 | 70% | 42/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 19/33 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 11/16 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 30/37 | 94% | 48/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 28/37 | 86% | 44/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Blinkova 0, Sabalenka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Blinkova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 8, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Sep 23, 2020
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Blinkova | Sabalenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Blinkova | Aryna Sabalenka | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 18/22 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 5/22 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–9 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.17 |
| ROI % | -2.7% | -18.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.67u | -2.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 11 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → GER → ESP | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Blinkova's 20%).
| Opponent | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 46 | L 46 36 |
| Renata Zarazua | L 36 76 46 | W 61 63 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 61 76 | W 75 62 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 63 16 | L 67 46 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 76 46 57 | L 67 64 46 |
| Talia Gibson | L 16 36 | W 62 76 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 76 36 36 | W 64 63 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 63 62 | W 60 75 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 26 06 | W 76 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 75 16 06 | W 63 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucrezia Stefanini
Samsun Open - Samsun · Semifinals
Oct 10
Bianca Andreescu
Samsun Open - Samsun · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Chris Werner
Samsun Open - Samsun · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Elena Pridankina
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lois Boisson
Adana Open - Adana · Quarterfinals
Oct 1
Viktoria Hruncakova
Adana Open - Adana · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Emiliana Arango
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 28
Kaitlin Quevedo
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–68 matches
| Metric | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 82% |
| Sets won | 55% | 79% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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