Anna Blinkova vs Aryna SabalenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Blinkova
#94 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Blinkova and Aryna Sabalenka have met 3 times since 2020; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Blinkova has taken 1 sets to Sabalenka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Blinkova | Sabalenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Blinkova | Aryna Sabalenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 15/21 | 84% | 42/50 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/45 | 25% | 15/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 10/16 | 69% | 41/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 16/29 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 92% | 45/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 86% | 42/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Blinkova 0, Sabalenka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Blinkova
🛡️ The Spoiler
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 826 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 8, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Sep 23, 2020
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Blinkova | Sabalenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Blinkova | Aryna Sabalenka | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–10 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.16 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -23.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.57u | -3.75u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 913 mi · 1,469 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → ESP | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Blinkova's 10%).
| Opponent | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 63 16 | L 67 46 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 76 46 57 | L 67 64 46 |
| Talia Gibson | L 16 36 | W 62 76 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | L 36 36 | W 46 63 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 76 36 36 | W 64 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 46 | W 26 76 64 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 63 62 | W 60 75 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | L 26 26 | W 62 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 26 06 | W 76 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 75 16 06 | W 63 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anastasia Zakharova
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Sara Bejlek
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Aurora Zantedeschi
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Maria Lourdes Carle
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–60 matches
| Metric | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 83% |
| Sets won | 49% | 79% |
| Games won | 48% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Blinkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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