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Head-to-Head

Ann Li vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Ann Li and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2025; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2025 on clay. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Li has taken 0 sets to Pegula's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months

IndicatorLiPegula
Wins in straight sets59%54%
Wins a set when losing45%47%
Goes to a deciding set43%46%
Covers βˆ’1.5 sets as favorite34%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog61%63%
Tiebreak sets won44%63%
Wins after taking set 191%88%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 173%65%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 0, Pegula 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Li

πŸ€– Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Pegula

πŸ’₯ Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

πŸ€– Servebot vs πŸ’₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Aug 31, 2025

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard Β· 4th Round

16
26
Pegula

May 29, 2025

French Open - Paris

C Clay Β· 2nd Round

36
637
Pegula

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days

OutcomeLiPegula
1 or more85%95%
3 or more77%76%
5 or more54%33%
10 or more15%5%
15 or more8%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days

MetricLiPegula
W-L6–717–5
Avg odds2.381.48
ROI %-22.5%+10.4%
Units P/L-2.93u+2.29u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricLiPegula
Countries33
Events33
Matches712
Distance1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km761 mi Β· 1,225 km
RouteCAN β†’ POL β†’ AUTAUT β†’ CAN β†’ POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months

Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Li's 20%).

OpponentLiPegula
Coco Gauff
L
16
67
L
26
46
Emma Navarro
L
16
36
W
75
62
Elena Rybakina
L
26
57
L
62
36
46
Kamilla Rakhimova
W
46
62
63
W
64
60
Magdalena Frech
L
46
36
W
36
63
62
Zeynep Sonmez
L
57
61
46
W
64
60
Ekaterina Alexandrova
L
16
76
16
W
75
36
63
Linda Noskova
L
36
75
46
L
46
64
36
Aryna Sabalenka
L
67
46
W
64
67
60
Kimberly Birrell
W
46
76
64
L
61
36
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Li
LWWLWLWL
L

Diane Parry

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Semifinals

677
46

Aug 29

W

Alycia Parks

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals

62
63

Aug 28

W

Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round

61
62

Aug 25

L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round

16
637

Aug 18

W

Shuai Zhang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round

75
63

Aug 16

L

Elena Rybakina

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round

26
57

Aug 7

W

Kayla Cross

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round

762
63

Aug 6

L

Magdalena Frech

Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round

46
36

Jul 29

Pegula
LWWWWWLW
L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final

26
46

Aug 24

W

Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals

75
46
64

Aug 22

W

Amanda Anisimova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals

64
26
764

Aug 20

W

Sorana Cirstea

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round

62
46
75

Aug 19

W

Emma Navarro

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round

75
62

Aug 18

W

Simona Waltert

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round

63
62

Aug 15

L

Diana Shnaider

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round

36
36

Aug 8

W

Kamilla Rakhimova

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round

64
60

Aug 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ LiPegula ahead↓ Pegula

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 56–76 matches

MetricLiPegula
Matches won48%75%
Sets won49%66%
Games won50%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageLiPegula
Grand Slam02

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceLiPegula
Hard01
Clay01

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Ann Li vs Jessica Pegula FAQ

Jessica Pegula leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.