Ann Li vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ann Li
#31 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAnn Li and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2025; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2025 on clay. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Li has taken 0 sets to Pegula's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ann Li | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 19/31 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 14/36 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 0, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
🤖 Servebot
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 31, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
May 29, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Li | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ann Li | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -1.7% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.24u | +0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Li's 30%).
| Opponent | Li | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 26 36 | W 62 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 64 63 | W 63 76 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 46 | L 57 26 |
| Emma Navarro | L 16 36 | W 36 64 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 76 26 | L 46 64 36 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 36 26 | W 16 64 63 |
| Donna Vekic | W 57 76 64 | W 46 62 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 16 67 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | W | W 75 46 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 57 | L 62 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Belinda Bencic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Donna Vekic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Antonia Ruzic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–66 matches
| Metric | Li | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 77% |
| Sets won | 53% | 69% |
| Games won | 51% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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