Andy Murray vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andy Murray and Rafael Nadal have met 4 times since 2015; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Murray leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Murray leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Murray has taken 5 sets to Nadal's 4. Their most recent meeting: Andy Murray won at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2016).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Murray | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andy Murray | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 1/1 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/5 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/6 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | — | ||
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | — | — | ||
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Murray 2, Nadal 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Murray
💥 Big Hitter
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andy Murray.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 6, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 14, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 7, 2015
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 10, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Final
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yan Cheng Chen
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Zihao Xia
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Yuquan Jin
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Haoran Hu
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Chin Kuan Lai
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Andrew Zhang
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Jun Hao Luo
M15 Wodonga 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 17
Leroy Sze
M15 Wodonga 1 · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–6 matches
| Metric | Murray | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 17% | - |
| Sets won | 17% | - |
| Games won | 31% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Murray | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Murray | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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