Alex de Minaur vs Andy MurrayPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlex de Minaur
#7 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
6 meetings ยท sets 12โ4
๐ฌ๐งAndy Murray
Unranked
115wAlex de Minaur and Andy Murray have met 6 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 6โ0. Their first meeting came at Zhuhai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 4โ0. Minaur has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 12 sets to Murray's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Murray | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Andy Murray | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Murray 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
๐ช Counterpuncher
Murray
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs โ๏ธ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Sep 28, 2023
Beijing
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Jun 20, 2023
London / Queen's Club
G Grass ยท Round of 32
Apr 10, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Round of 64
Sep 23, 2022
Laver Cup
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Sep 16, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13โ6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | - |
| ROI % | -16.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km | โ |
| Route | USA โ CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Alexei Popyrin
London / Queen's Club ยท Round of 32
Jun 18
Marcos Giron
Stuttgart ยท Round of 32
Jun 11
Stan Wawrinka
Roland Garros ยท Round of 128
May 26
Yannick Hanfmann
Geneva ยท Round of 32
May 20
Gregoire Barrere
Bordeaux ยท Round of 16
May 16
Tomas Machac
ATP Masters 1000 Miami ยท Round of 32
Mar 24
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Masters 1000 Miami ยท Round of 64
Mar 22
Matteo Berrettini
ATP Masters 1000 Miami ยท Round of 128
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 74โ74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | - |
| Sets won | 62% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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