Alex de Minaur vs Andy MurrayPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Andy Murray have met 7 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 7–0. Their first meeting came at Zhuhai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 5–0. Minaur has won the last 7 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 14 sets to Murray's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Murray | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Andy Murray | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 0% | 0/6 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 100% | 1/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Murray 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Murray
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 28, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 20, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Apr 10, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 23, 2022
Laver Cup - London
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 23, 2022
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 16, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Murray | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Andy Murray | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/0 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | - |
| ROI % | +8.6% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yan Cheng Chen
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Zihao Xia
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Yuquan Jin
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Haoran Hu
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Chin Kuan Lai
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Andrew Zhang
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Jun Hao Luo
M15 Wodonga 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 17
Leroy Sze
M15 Wodonga 1 · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 17% |
| Sets won | 63% | 17% |
| Games won | 54% | 31% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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