Andrey Rublev vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Stan Wawrinka have met 5 times since 2016; Stan Wawrinka leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Chennai in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Wawrinka leads 3–1. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 5 sets to Wawrinka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Stan Wawrinka won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Wawrinka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2024
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 28, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 5, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 7, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 7, 2016
Chennai
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 2.74 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Wawrinka's 20%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 46 26 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 36 64 | L 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 57 57 |
| Jaime Faria | W 64 63 46 75 | L 76 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 36 63 36 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | L 36 63 36 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 61 76 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | W 76 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 26 | L 46 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 34% |
| Sets won | 58% | 40% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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