Andrey Rublev vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Stan Wawrinka have met 5 times since 2016; Stan Wawrinka leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Chennai in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Wawrinka leads 3–1. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 5 sets to Wawrinka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Stan Wawrinka won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 35% | 13/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Wawrinka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Stan Wawrinka are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2024
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 28, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 5, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 7, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 7, 2016
Chennai
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Wawrinka's 30%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Safiullin | L 46 76 63 36 67 | L 36 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 57 57 |
| Jaime Faria | W 64 63 46 75 | L 76 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 36 63 36 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | L 36 63 36 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 61 76 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | W 76 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 26 | L 46 76 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | L 36 76 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | W 57 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 2nd Round
May 20
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 1st Round
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 45% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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