Andrey Rublev vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 8 times since 2015; they are level 4–4. Their first meeting came at Valencia in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Agut leads 4–0. On clay courts Rublev leads 3–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 9 sets to Agut's 9. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Bautista Agut 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Jun 24, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Semifinals
Jun 24, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 3, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
May 13, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 15, 2021
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 12, 2021
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 25, 2020
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 29, 2015
Valencia
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Agut's 17%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Juncheng Shang | L 57 64 67 | L 46 76 46 06 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | L 76 36 36 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | L 46 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 64 | W 64 67 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 26 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 32% |
| Sets won | 56% | 36% |
| Games won | 52% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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