Andrey Rublev and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 4 times since 2015; Andrey Rublev leads 4–0. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Beijing (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Andrey Rublev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.33u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rublev and Busta posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 62 63 | W 64 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 46 63 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 76 26 46 | L 26 16 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | L 36 61 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 36 46 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 57 67 | L 46 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 46 26 46 |
| Yoshihito Nishioka | L 62 16 46 | W 60 63 |
Last five matches per player
Hubert Hurkacz
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Nuno Borges
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Ignacio Buse
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 11
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–59 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 67% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
