Andrey Rublev vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2025; Andrey Rublev leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 2–1. Rublev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Tien's 2. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 39% | 18/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Tien 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Learner Tien are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 28, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 23, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rublev's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 75 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | W 64 60 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | W 62 64 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 76 26 46 46 | W 63 62 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 64 61 62 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 63 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 26 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | W 76 63 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | W 36 63 75 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Flavio Cobolli
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–65 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 66% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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