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Head-to-Head

Andrey Rublev vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Andrey Rublev

🇷🇺Andrey Rublev

#24 · 28 yrs · R

2–1

3 meetings · sets 4–2

Learner Tien

🇺🇸Learner Tien

#15 · 20 yrs · L

Andrey Rublev and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2025; Andrey Rublev leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 2–1. Rublev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Tien's 2. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRublevTien
Wins in straight sets71%50%
Wins a set when losing39%38%
Goes to a deciding set33%46%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite47%46%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog17%68%
Tiebreak sets won44%77%
Wins after taking set 181%92%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 165%62%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Tien 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rublev

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Tien

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Oct 28, 2025

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

H Hard · 2nd Round

64
64
Rublev

Aug 10, 2025

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 2nd Round

764
63
Rublev

Jul 23, 2025

Citi Open - Washington

H Hard · 2nd Round

57
26
Tien

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRublevTien
1 or more100%83%
3 or more100%67%
5 or more82%58%
10 or more36%8%
15 or more18%0%
20 or more9%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRublevTien
W-L6–57–5
Avg odds1.441.62
ROI %-22.6%-14.6%
Units P/L-2.48u-1.75u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRublevTien
Countries22
Events22
Matches37
Distance712 mi · 1,146 km712 mi · 1,146 km
RouteCAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rublev's 50%).

OpponentRublevTien
Nuno Borges
L
36
46
W
76
64
62
Sebastian Baez
W
61
62
W
63
76
Ben Shelton
L
67
36
L
26
36
Felix Auger-Aliassime
L
57
36
46
L
76
57
67
Flavio Cobolli
L
67
36
L
26
26
36
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
W
61
16
63
76
W
76
63
Mariano Navone
W
64
75
W
36
63
75
Stefanos Tsitsipas
W
63
76
W
76
76
Jannik Sinner
L
26
46
L
16
26
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
W
64
64
W
46
61
76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rublev
LWLLWWWW
L

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

36
46

Aug 18

W

Pablo Carreno Busta

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

765
61

Aug 16

L

Juncheng Shang

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

57
64
657

Aug 4

L

Luca Van Assche

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals

63
36
46

Jul 24

W

Timofey Skatov

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round

61
61

Jul 23

W

Luciano Darderi

Nordea Open - Bastad · Final

64
63

Jul 19

W

Alejandro Tabilo

Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals

64
46
64

Jul 18

W

Sebastian Baez

Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals

61
62

Jul 17

Tien
LWLWWWWL
L

Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

46
64
46

Aug 19

W

Sebastian Baez

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
764

Aug 16

L

Ben Shelton

National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals

26
36

Aug 13

W

Daniel Merida Aguilar

National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals

63
62

Aug 12

W

Thiago Agustin Tirante

National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 9

W

Tommy Paul

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

63
62

Aug 8

W

Gael Monfils

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

63
06
63

Aug 6

L

Adrian Mannarino

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

57
46

Jul 28

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RublevRublev ahead↓ Tien

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–63 matches

MetricRublevTien
Matches won58%68%
Sets won56%61%
Games won52%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRublevTien
ATP 50001
ATP Masters 100020

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRublevTien
Hard21

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Andrey Rublev vs Learner Tien FAQ

Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.