Andrey Rublev vs Gael MonfilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Gael Monfils have met 4 times since 2018; Andrey Rublev leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 2–1. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Monfils leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 7 sets to Monfils's 3. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Gael Monfils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Monfils 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Monfils
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 9, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 31, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 19, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 6, 2018
Doha
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Gael Monfils | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 3.13 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | +14.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Monfils's 17%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 57 76 | W 67 61 64 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 67 76 61 | L 26 36 63 62 06 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 63 | L 62 67 36 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | L 36 46 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | L 36 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 64 | L 75 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 33% |
| Sets won | 58% | 42% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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