Andrey Rublev vs Gael MonfilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAndrey Rublev
#24 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 7โ3

๐ซ๐ทGael Monfils
#307 ยท 39 yrs ยท R
Andrey Rublev and Gael Monfils have met 4 times since 2018; Andrey Rublev leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 2โ1. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Monfils leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 7 sets to Monfils's 3. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Gael Monfils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Monfils 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
๐ค Servebot
Monfils
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Gael Monfils are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 9, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Aug 31, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jan 6, 2018
Doha
H Hard ยท Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ5 | 1โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.85 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | +19.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | +0.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Monfils's 20%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | L 36 60 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | L 36 46 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 57 67 | W 67 61 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 46 | L 76 36 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 64 | L 75 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Tallon Griekspoor
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 1st Round
Apr 5
Felix Auger-Aliassime
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท 2nd Round
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 13โ51 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 31% |
| Sets won | 56% | 42% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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