Andrey Rublev vs Daniel EvansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Daniel Evans have met 10 times since 2016; they are level 5–5. Their first meeting came at Dallas in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Evans leads 5–4. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 14 sets to Evans's 11. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Daniel Evans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 80% | 4/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Evans 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrey Rublev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 10, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 5, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 22, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 23, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 8, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 27, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 16, 2020
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 2, 2019
Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 3, 2016
Dallas
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Daniel Evans | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -47.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -1.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Oliver Crawford
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–51 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 5 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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