Andrey Rublev vs Daniel EvansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Daniel Evans have met 10 times since 2016; they are level 5–5. Their first meeting came at Dallas in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Evans leads 5–4. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 14 sets to Evans's 11. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Daniel Evans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Evans 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Evans
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 10, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 5, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 22, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 23, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 8, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 27, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 16, 2020
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 2, 2019
Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 3, 2016
Dallas
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | - |
| ROI % | -14.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rublev and Evans posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 46 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 25% |
| Sets won | 58% | 33% |
| Games won | 53% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 5 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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