Andrey Rublev vs Cristian GarinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAndrey Rublev
#24 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 8โ2

๐จ๐ฑCristian Garin
#135 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
14wAndrey Rublev and Cristian Garin have met 3 times since 2019; Andrey Rublev leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2019 on grass. On clay courts Rublev leads 2โ0. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 8 sets to Garin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at French Open - Paris (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Garin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Cristian Garin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 55% | 22/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Garin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
๐ค Servebot
Garin
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrey Rublev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Jul 12, 2019
Hamburg
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -22.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Garin's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | L 46 63 67 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 61 61 | W 61 62 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | L 67 57 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 67 61 57 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | L 06 62 06 26 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | W 67 62 62 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 36 76 62 | W 75 60 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 67 46 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | W 76 62 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 62 63 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 2nd Round
May 9
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 7
Jan Choinski
Internazionali BNL d'Italia ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
May 5
Moez Echargui
Internazionali BNL d'Italia ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Nuno Borges
Cagliari Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Apr 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 60% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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