Andrey Rublev vs Andy MurrayPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Andy Murray have met 2 times since 2021; Andrey Rublev leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Rotterdam in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 2–0. Rublev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Murray's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Murray | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Andy Murray | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Murray 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Murray
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrey Rublev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 1, 2021
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -22.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alexei Popyrin
London / Queen's Club · Round of 32
Jun 18
Marcos Giron
Stuttgart · Round of 32
Jun 11
Stan Wawrinka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Yannick Hanfmann
Geneva · Round of 32
May 20
Gregoire Barrere
Bordeaux · Round of 16
May 16
Tomas Machac
ATP Masters 1000 Miami · Round of 32
Mar 24
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Masters 1000 Miami · Round of 64
Mar 22
Matteo Berrettini
ATP Masters 1000 Miami · Round of 128
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | - |
| Sets won | 56% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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