Andrea Pellegrino vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Pellegrino and Camilo Ugo Carabelli have met 3 times since 2021; Andrea Pellegrino leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Biella 7 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Pellegrino leads 2–1. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 4 sets to Carabelli's 4. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Campinas Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Ugo Carabelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 33% | 14/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 81% | 13/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 0, Ugo Carabelli 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2023
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Jun 8, 2021
Lyon Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 1, 2021
Biella 7 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Carabelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +11.5% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Pellegrino's 20%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 76 36 | L 16 61 36 67 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 64 57 | L 26 62 36 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 46 | W 36 75 75 |
| Daniel Merida | L 36 75 36 | L 64 63 26 03 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 46 67 36 | L 76 16 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 61 | W 76 76 |
| Martin Damm | L 06 67 | W 76 63 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 76 67 63 | W 64 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 46 | W 75 63 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 46 36 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–58 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 47% |
| Sets won | 55% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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