Anastasija Sevastova vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Anastasija Sevastova
#589 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
37w3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wAnastasija Sevastova and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2020; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2020 on clay. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sevastova has taken 1 sets to Paolini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sevastova | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasija Sevastova | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 25% | 1/4 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 63% | 5/8 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 17% | 1/6 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 33% | 1/3 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sevastova 0, Paolini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sevastova
🎯 Baseliner
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 102 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 14, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.18 |
| ROI % | - | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Open BLS de Limoges - Limoges · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Aliona Falei
W75 Trnava 4 · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava 4 · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava · Round of 16
Nov 27
Ayla Aksu
W75 Trnava 4 · 1st Round
Nov 26
Maya Joint
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · 1st Round
Oct 28
Jasmine Paolini
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 24
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–45 matches
| Metric | Sevastova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 58% |
| Sets won | 48% | 53% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sevastova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sevastova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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