Anastasija Sevastova vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Anastasija Sevastova
#840 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
39w3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasija Sevastova and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2020; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2020 on clay. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sevastova has taken 1 sets to Paolini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sevastova | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasija Sevastova | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 0/3 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 3/5 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 75% | 6/8 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/7 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/2 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sevastova 0, Paolini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sevastova
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Sep 14, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.66 |
| ROI % | - | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Whitney Osuigwe
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 13
Sinja Kraus
ASB Classic - Auckland · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 3
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Open BLS de Limoges - Limoges · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Aliona Falei
W75 Trnava 4 · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava 4 · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava · Round of 16
Nov 27
Ayla Aksu
W75 Trnava 4 · 1st Round
Nov 26
Maya Joint
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · 1st Round
Oct 28
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–39 matches
| Metric | Sevastova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 51% |
| Sets won | 41% | 48% |
| Games won | 45% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sevastova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sevastova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.