Anastasija Sevastova vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Anastasija Sevastova
#840 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
39w6 meetings · sets 6–8
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasija Sevastova and Naomi Osaka have met 6 times since 2017; Naomi Osaka leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Toronto in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 4–2. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sevastova has taken 6 sets to Osaka's 8. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sevastova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasija Sevastova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 0/3 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 3/5 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 75% | 6/8 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/7 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/2 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sevastova 2, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sevastova
💥 Big Hitter
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anastasija Sevastova and Naomi Osaka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 3, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 17, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 4, 2019
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 6, 2018
Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 14, 2018
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 9, 2017
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.46 |
| ROI % | - | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Whitney Osuigwe
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 13
Sinja Kraus
ASB Classic - Auckland · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 3
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Open BLS de Limoges - Limoges · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Aliona Falei
W75 Trnava 4 · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava 4 · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava · Round of 16
Nov 27
Ayla Aksu
W75 Trnava 4 · 1st Round
Nov 26
Maya Joint
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · 1st Round
Oct 28
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–44 matches
| Metric | Sevastova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 75% |
| Sets won | 41% | 68% |
| Games won | 45% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sevastova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sevastova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
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