Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Aryna SabalenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
#641 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
23w4 meetings · sets 5–6
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Aryna Sabalenka have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Toronto in 2019 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Pavlyuchenkova has taken 5 sets to Sabalenka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pavlyuchenkova | Sabalenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | Aryna Sabalenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 86% | 44/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 2/8 | 23% | 14/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 70% | 42/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 94% | 48/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 86% | 44/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pavlyuchenkova 0, Sabalenka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlyuchenkova
🤖 Servebot
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 4, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 6, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 7, 2019
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.17 |
| ROI % | - | -18.6% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Pavlyuchenkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Pavlyuchenkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 36 | W 61 76 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 16 | L 62 36 57 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | L 46 46 | W 62 63 |
| Zhuoxuan Bai | L 46 62 67 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Veronika Erjavec
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Alexandra Eala
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 21
Viktoriya Tomova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Tena Lukas
Dubrovnik Open - Dubrovnik · 1st Round
Mar 24
Barbora Krejcikova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 15
Elise Mertens
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Mccartney Kessler
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 1
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–62 matches
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 82% |
| Sets won | 28% | 79% |
| Games won | 42% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pavlyuchenkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pavlyuchenkova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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