Amanda Anisimova vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Amanda Anisimova
#10 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wAmanda Anisimova and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2021; Amanda Anisimova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma in 2021 on clay. Anisimova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Anisimova has taken 4 sets to Paolini's 1. Their most recent meeting: Amanda Anisimova won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Anisimova | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Amanda Anisimova | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 19/31 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 6/13 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 18/44 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 14/30 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 22/24 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Anisimova 1, Paolini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Anisimova
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 16, 2021
Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Anisimova | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Amanda Anisimova | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.09u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Anisimova and Paolini posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Anisimova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 62 67 | L 26 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 46 64 62 | W 64 46 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 62 63 | L 26 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 26 46 | W 36 64 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 36 | L 36 26 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 62 46 76 | W 63 60 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 63 36 | L 26 67 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 61 63 | W 36 62 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 26 | L 46 36 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | W 61 57 64 | W 75 57 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Nikola Bartunkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Madison Keys
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Sofia Kenin
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–45 matches
| Metric | Anisimova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 58% |
| Sets won | 64% | 53% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Anisimova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Anisimova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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