Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#136 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6w2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wAliaksandra Sasnovich and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo in 2020 on clay. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 2 sets to Paolini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 10/26 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 3/12 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 13% | 1/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 4/9 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 1, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
🎾 All-Court
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 253 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jasmine Paolini.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 18, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 5, 2020
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -47.4% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Sasnovich's 17%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 26 | L 36 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | W 64 46 63 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 76 46 67 | W 62 63 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 60 | L 57 62 16 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 57 36 | L 26 26 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 36 46 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tereza Valentova
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anna Blinkova
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Storm Hunter
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Katy Dunne
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Magdalena Frech
Berlin
Jun 13
Storm Hunter
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–45 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 58% |
| Sets won | 39% | 53% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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