Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#118 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo in 2020 on clay. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 2 sets to Paolini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/57 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 24/35 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 1, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 18, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 5, 2020
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -18.8% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Sasnovich and Paolini posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | W 62 06 62 | L 63 67 26 |
| Talia Gibson | W 61 64 | L 57 62 16 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 67 | L 36 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | W 64 46 63 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 76 46 67 | W 62 63 |
| Priscilla Hon | W 75 67 63 | W 60 62 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 36 46 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elvina Kalieva
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Linda Fruhvirtova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Xinxin Yao
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Talia Gibson
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Varvara Lepchenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Junhan Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–57 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 51% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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