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Head-to-Head

Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich

#122 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

2–1

3 meetings · sets 4–4

Leylah Fernandez

🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez

#30 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed

Title3

Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2023; Aliaksandra Sasnovich leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Sasnovich leads 2–0. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 4 sets to Fernandez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Aliaksandra Sasnovich won at Catalonia Open - Vic (2025).

Upcoming match

Tournament
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
Level
WTA 500
Round
2nd Round
Surface
Hard
Date & time
October 21 · 10:00 PM ET

Book odds

Leylah Fernandez1.46
Aliaksandra Sasnovich2.58

Set spread

Fernandez -1.52.15
Sasnovich +1.51.63

Game spread

Fernandez -3.51.76
Sasnovich +3.51.82
FernandezHard-court specialist (66%)SasnovichHard-court specialist (56%)

Record at prices like this

Leylah Fernandez1.46implies 71%won 69%−2 pts

At 1.46 or shorter, Leylah Fernandez has won 91 of 131 (69%). That is level with the 71% the price implied.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich2.58implies 29%won 23%−6 pts

At 2.58 or longer, Aliaksandra Sasnovich has won 15 of 66 (23%). The price implied 29%, so Aliaksandra Sasnovich has fallen 6 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Leylah Fernandez meet next at the Ningbo Open - Ningbo on October 21 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorSasnovichFernandez
Wins in straight sets79%67%
Wins a set when losing24%33%
Goes to a deciding set22%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite53%47%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog39%58%
Tiebreak sets won25%25%
Wins after taking set 183%77%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 172%65%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 0, Fernandez 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Sasnovich

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Fernandez

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,491 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aliaksandra Sasnovich.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Apr 30, 2025

Catalonia Open - Vic

C Clay · 2nd Round

64
26
62
Sasnovich

Oct 20, 2023

Jiangxi Open - Nanchang

H Hard · Quarterfinals

36
46
Fernandez

May 9, 2023

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · 1st Round

764
46
63
Sasnovich

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeSasnovichFernandez
1 or more93%90%
3 or more47%42%
5 or more13%21%
10 or more7%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricSasnovichFernandez
W-L9–613–6
Avg odds1.972.09
ROI %-7.9%+29.2%
Units P/L-1.19u+5.55u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricSasnovichFernandez
Countries34
Events44
Matches1210
Distance—3,868 mi · 6,225 km
RouteSGP → ROU → FRASGP → ROU → CZE → FRA

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sasnovich's 30%).

OpponentSasnovichFernandez
Ekaterina Alexandrova
L
16
46
W
64
36
63
Talia Gibson
W
61
64
W
75
60
Mirra Andreeva
L
26
26
W
62
75
Renata Zarazua
W
63
64
W
62
62
Alexandra Eala
L
62
46
67
L
26
67
Tereza Valentova
L
36
26
W
60
57
63
Anna Blinkova
W
36
62
62
L
67
46
Magdalena Frech
L
76
46
67
W
64
36
64
Julia Grabher
L
64
26
46
W
62
63
Sorana Cirstea
L
36
67
W
64
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Sasnovich
WWWLWWLW
W

Daria Kasatkina

Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round

64
62

Oct 19

W

Anhelina Kalinina

Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 3rd Round Qualifying

Oct 18

W

Anna Bondar

Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round Qualifying

75
61

Oct 17

L

Elvina Kalieva

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals

36
687

Oct 9

W

Linda Fruhvirtova

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round

60
62

Oct 7

W

Xinxin Yao

Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round

75
61

Oct 5

L

Ekaterina Alexandrova

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

16
46

Oct 2

W

Talia Gibson

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

61
64

Sep 30

Fernandez
WLWWLWWW
W

Elise Mertens

Ningbo Open - Ningbo · 1st Round

26
63
75

Oct 19

L

Jelena Ostapenko

Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round

16
61
46

Oct 15

W

Han Shi

Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 2nd Round

63
64

Oct 14

W

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round

64
36
63

Oct 12

L

Kamilla Rakhimova

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

26
64
36

Oct 3

W

Talia Gibson

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final

75
60

Sep 27

W

Maja Chwalinska

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals

16
64
62

Sep 26

W

Mirra Andreeva

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals

62
75

Sep 25

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ SasnovichSasnovich ahead↓ Fernandez

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–58 matches

MetricSasnovichFernandez
Matches won57%53%
Sets won56%52%
Games won54%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageSasnovichFernandez
WTA 25001
WTA 12510
WTA 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceSasnovichFernandez
Hard01
Clay20

Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Leylah Fernandez FAQ

Aliaksandra Sasnovich leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.