Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#136 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
8Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2021; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 1 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Ostrava Open - Ostrava (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 68% | 39/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 10/26 | 37% | 26/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 3/12 | 60% | 37/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 13% | 1/8 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 94% | 46/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 4/9 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 0, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
🎾 All-Court
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🎾 All-Court across 527 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Rybakina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 5, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 29, 2021
Chicago Fall Tennis Classic - Chicago
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 30, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -47.4% | +6.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | +0.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Sasnovich's 20%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | L 76 46 67 | W 64 76 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 16 64 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 46 | W 64 46 64 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 36 26 | W 62 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | L 57 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 64 60 | W 62 62 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 46 | W 60 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 26 46 | W 75 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 26 | W 63 64 |
| Paula Badosa | L 57 36 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tereza Valentova
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anna Blinkova
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Storm Hunter
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Katy Dunne
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Magdalena Frech
Berlin
Jun 13
Storm Hunter
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–70 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 81% |
| Sets won | 39% | 73% |
| Games won | 48% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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