Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#118 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Elena Rybakina have met 3 times since 2021; Elena Rybakina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 3–0. Rybakina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 1 sets to Rybakina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Ostrava Open - Ostrava (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 67% | 40/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/57 | 38% | 27/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 61% | 39/64 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 24/35 | 78% | 40/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 0, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
👑 The Complete Package
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aliaksandra Sasnovich.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 5, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 29, 2021
Chicago Fall Tennis Classic - Chicago
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 30, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 15–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -18.8% | +28.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sasnovich's 20%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Charaeva | L 46 06 | L 63 46 36 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 16 46 | W 64 64 |
| Talia Gibson | W 61 64 | W 62 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 26 26 | W 75 61 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 75 60 | W 63 57 64 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 76 46 67 | W 64 76 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 46 | W 64 46 64 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 36 26 | W 62 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | L 57 46 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 46 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elvina Kalieva
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Linda Fruhvirtova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Xinxin Yao
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Talia Gibson
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Varvara Lepchenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Junhan Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–72 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 83% |
| Sets won | 54% | 74% |
| Games won | 53% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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