Alexei Popyrin vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Jannik Sinner have met 4 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Sinner leads 2–0. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 2 sets to Sinner's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Sinner 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 18, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 28, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 5, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Popyrin's 30%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 46 | W 64 63 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | W 64 64 |
| Clement Tabur | W 76 67 64 | W 61 63 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | W 64 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 26 64 | L 67 62 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 | W 63 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | W 62 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 60 46 61 | W 75 76 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 46 | W 62 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 36 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–72 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 94% |
| Sets won | 35% | 87% |
| Games won | 47% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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