Alexandre Muller vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Tommy Paul have met 2 times since 2023; Tommy Paul leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2023 on hard. Paul has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 0 sets to Paul's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tommy Paul.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 24, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -58.8% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,267 mi · 8,476 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | GER → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Muller's 33%).
| Opponent | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 64 36 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 76 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | W 67 76 76 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 46 16 | W 46 63 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 75 64 | L 75 46 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 46 36 | W 46 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–50 matches
| Metric | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 70% |
| Sets won | 37% | 65% |
| Games won | 45% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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