Alexandre Muller vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Matteo Berrettini have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Berrettini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Muller has taken 0 sets to Berrettini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Berrettini's 14%).
| Opponent | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | L 67 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 16 57 | W 16 76 64 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 06 | L 63 36 46 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 61 67 64 | L |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 63 36 76 76 | L 26 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | L 46 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 64 36 46 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–50 matches
| Metric | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 57% |
| Sets won | 41% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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