Alexandre Muller vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Matteo Berrettini have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Berrettini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Muller has taken 0 sets to Berrettini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Berrettini.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -58.8% | -6.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | -0.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,267 mi · 8,476 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | GER → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Berrettini's 0%).
| Opponent | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | L 46 06 | L 36 76 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 61 67 64 | L 57 25 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 63 36 76 76 | L 26 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | L 46 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 64 36 46 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–48 matches
| Metric | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 56% |
| Sets won | 37% | 56% |
| Games won | 45% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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