Alexander Zverev vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชAlexander Zverev
#2 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
7 meetings ยท sets 9โ8

๐ฎ๐นMatteo Berrettini
#43 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Alexander Zverev and Matteo Berrettini have met 7 times since 2018; Alexander Zverev leads 4โ3. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2โ2. On hard courts Zverev leads 2โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Zverev leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 9 sets to Berrettini's 8. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 3, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
๐ค Servebot
Berrettini
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Zverev and Matteo Berrettini are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Apr 8, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 3rd Round
May 9, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท Final
Oct 11, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard ยท Semifinals
May 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay ยท Round of 32
May 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14โ4 | 4โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -5.0% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Berrettini's 50%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | W 36 63 63 | W 76 67 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 75 36 76 | L 46 76 36 |
| Mariano Navone | W 61 36 63 | L 36 76 36 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 63 | W 64 75 36 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 76 | W 63 64 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 46 62 | L 46 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 64 | L 57 25 |
| Quentin Halys | W 64 63 57 62 | W 62 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 36 26 | W 64 64 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 67 61 75 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 7
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 48โ81 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 56% |
| Sets won | 67% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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