Alexander Zverev vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Matteo Berrettini have met 7 times since 2018; Alexander Zverev leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. On hard courts Zverev leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Zverev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 9 sets to Berrettini's 8. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 29/52 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 23/33 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 39/46 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 30/46 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 3, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 8, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 8, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
May 9, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Final
Oct 11, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Semifinals
May 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
May 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.35u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Berrettini's 40%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | W 64 67 63 | W 62 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 76 57 64 | L 67 57 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 64 | W 16 76 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 76 63 | L 75 26 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 62 67 911 | L 16 67 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 62 64 | L 36 46 |
| Mariano Navone | W 61 36 63 | L 63 36 46 67 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 75 36 76 | L 46 76 36 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 63 | W 64 75 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–88 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 57% |
| Sets won | 72% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 4 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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