Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2020; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Tsitsipas has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 0 sets to Tsitsipas's 6. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Tsitsipas 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 26, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 22, 2020
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 24% | 5/21 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | +20.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | +4.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bublik and Tsitsipas posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | W 64 76 | L 46 67 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 67 | L 64 67 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | W 64 63 |
| Alex Molcan | W 63 62 | W 26 63 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | W 26 61 76 61 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | L 36 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 46 63 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | W 63 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 62% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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