Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2020; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Tsitsipas has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 0 sets to Tsitsipas's 6. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Tsitsipas 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 26, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 22, 2020
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tsitsipas's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Hugo Nys | W 60 63 | L 36 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 76 | W 76 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 46 63 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | W 63 36 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | W 64 75 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | W 64 76 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 67 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | L 57 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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