Alexander Bublik vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Jannik Sinner have met 7 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 4–0. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 3 sets to Sinner's 15. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Sinner 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 24, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 1, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 19, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 4, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 14, 2023
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 2nd Round
Mar 31, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 16, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bublik's 70%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | W 75 76 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | W 62 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | W 64 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 61 62 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 62 60 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | W 76 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | W 63 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | W 64 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 75 | W 61 64 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–72 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 94% |
| Sets won | 57% | 87% |
| Games won | 51% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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