Alexander Bublik vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#16 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5w4 meetings ยท sets 5โ6

๐ฌ๐งJack Draper
#141 ยท 24 yrs ยท L
3Alexander Bublik and Jack Draper have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at London / Queen's Club in 2019 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Draper's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Draper 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Draper
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 2, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 4th Round
Jan 12, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Jun 16, 2021
cinch Championships - London
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Jun 1, 2019
London / Queen's Club
G Grass ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Jack Draper | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 3โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.37 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Bublik and Draper posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Bublik | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 76 63 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | W 64 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | L 57 76 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 14โ59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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