Alexander Bublik vs Hiroki MoriyaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Hiroki Moriya have met 2 times since 2018; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Shanghai in 2018 on hard. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Moriya's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Stuttgart (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 26% | 9/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 36% | 24/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Moriya 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2019
Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 11, 2018
Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -22.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -2.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–66 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 48% |
| Sets won | 58% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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