Alexander Bublik vs Hiroki MoriyaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#16 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5w2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2

๐ฏ๐ตHiroki Moriya
#515 ยท 35 yrs ยท R
Alexander Bublik and Hiroki Moriya have met 2 times since 2018; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Shanghai in 2018 on hard. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Moriya's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Stuttgart (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 39% | 20/51 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Moriya 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Moriya
๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler across 321 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2019
Stuttgart
G Grass ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 11, 2018
Shanghai
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -29.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | โ | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ58 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 57% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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