Hiroki Moriya vs Philip SekulicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Philip Sekulic have met 5 times since 2023; Philip Sekulic leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Burnie Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sekulic leads 3–2. Moriya has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 5 sets to Sekulic's 6. Their most recent meeting: Hiroki Moriya won at Gwangju Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Sekulic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Philip Sekulic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 17/32 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/34 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/66 | 36% | 23/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 10/28 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 62% | 21/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 2, Sekulic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sekulic
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Philip Sekulic.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 19, 2026
Gwangju Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 2, 2026
Gwangju Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 14, 2025
M25 Bali 2
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 7, 2024
Burnie 2 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 2, 2023
Burnie Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moriya | Sekulic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hiroki Moriya | Philip Sekulic | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | -24.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | -4.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,545 mi · 2,486 km |
| Route | CHN | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moriya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sekulic's 40%).
| Opponent | Moriya | Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vujic | L | L 36 67 |
| Keegan Smith | W 36 76 63 | L 26 57 |
| Blake Ellis | L 46 75 36 | L 57 76 57 |
| Yuta Shimizu | L 75 57 67 | W 62 26 75 |
| Koki Matsuda | W 46 64 60 | W 62 46 75 |
| Maximus Jones | W 63 76 | W 67 63 61 |
| Moerani Bouzige | W 64 64 | W |
| Patrick Maloney | L 36 67 | L 36 36 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 63 36 | L 26 16 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 75 76 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Stefan Vujic
M25 Darwin · Semifinals
Oct 10
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M25 Darwin · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ethan Cook
M25 Darwin · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mustafa Ege Sik
M25 Darwin · 1st Round
Oct 6
Herman Hoeyeraal
M25 Darwin · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Zaharije-Zak Talic
M25 Darwin · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Stefan Storch
M25 Darwin · 1st Round
Sep 30
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–66 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 56% |
| Sets won | 47% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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