Alex Bolt vs Hiroki MoriyaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Hiroki Moriya have met 5 times since 2015; Alex Bolt leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Ilkley in 2015 on grass. On hard courts Bolt leads 4–0. Bolt has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 10 sets to Moriya's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at Brisbane 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | 39% | 20/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 18/25 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 2, Moriya 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Moriya
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 321 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Bolt.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 14, 2026
Brisbane 2 Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 13, 2024
Kobe Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 2, 2024
Burnie 1 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 31, 2019
Playford 2
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 8, 2015
Ilkley
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Moriya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Hiroki Moriya | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -52.1% | -29.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.65u | -2.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | USA | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Moriya's 60%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 46 64 76 | L 26 26 |
| Jamie Mackenzie | W 46 61 76 | W 46 64 64 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 76 76 | L 46 46 |
| James McCabe | W 75 76 | L 46 36 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 62 61 | W 64 76 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 63 76 | W 64 26 62 |
| Omar Jasika | W 46 64 61 | W 64 46 64 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 64 | W 75 76 |
| Moerani Bouzige | W 64 62 | W 64 64 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | L 26 76 26 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–53 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 5 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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