Head-to-Head

Alex Bolt vs Yuta ShimizuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇺Alex Bolt

#170 · 33 yrs · L

2–3

5 meetings · sets 4–6

🇯🇵Yuta Shimizu

#393 · 27 yrs · L

Alex Bolt and Yuta Shimizu have met 5 times since 2023; Yuta Shimizu leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Tyler Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Shimizu leads 3–2. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 4 sets to Shimizu's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at Brisbane 1 Challenger (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Bolt	Shimizu
Indicator	Alex Bolt		Yuta Shimizu
Wins in straight sets	75%	24/32	62%	18/29
Wins a set when losing	42%	11/26	41%	11/27
Goes to a deciding set	33%	19/58	39%	22/56
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	53%	18/34	41%	11/27
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	57%	12/21	67%	18/27
Tiebreak sets won	67%	20/30	68%	17/25
Wins after taking set 1	84%	27/32	74%	23/31
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	75%	24/32	58%	18/31

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 2, Shimizu 3).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Bolt

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Shimizu

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Bolt.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Feb 4, 2026

Brisbane 1 Challenger

H Hard · 2nd Round

Bolt

Nov 17, 2024

Yokohama Challenger

H Hard · 1st Round

6⁶7

Shimizu

Sep 25, 2024

Nonthaburi 4 Challenger

H Hard · 1st Round

76⁷

Bolt

Feb 6, 2024

Burnie 2 Challenger

H Hard · 1st Round

Shimizu

Jun 7, 2023

Tyler Challenger

H Hard · 2nd Round

6⁵7

Shimizu

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Bolt	Shimizu
Outcome	Alex Bolt		Yuta Shimizu
1 or more	100%	10/10	82%	9/11
3 or more	90%	9/10	73%	8/11
5 or more	70%	7/10	55%	6/11
10 or more	30%	3/10	9%	1/11
15 or more	10%	1/10	0%	0/11
20 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/11

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Bolt	Shimizu
W-L	6–5	5–6
Avg odds	2.39	1.89
ROI %	-10.4%	-12.8%
Units P/L	-1.15u	-1.41u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Bolt	Shimizu
Countries	1	2
Events	3	2
Matches	8	3
Distance	927 mi · 1,492 km	1,420 mi · 2,285 km
Route	CHN	VIE → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Shimizu's 56%).

Opponent	Bolt	Shimizu
Dane Sweeny	W 63 76	W 75 75
Evan Zhu	W 67 64 62	L 16 62 36
Philip Sekulic	W 62 61	L 26 62 57
Hiroki Moriya	W 63 36 63	W 57 75 76
Fajing Sun	L 76 36 36	W 57 64 64
Aoran Wang	W 63 76	L 63 57 36
Sho Shimabukuro	L 26 76 36	L 36 06
Yasutaka Uchiyama	L 26 76 26	W
Takuya Kumasaka	W 63 64	W 60 57 76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Bolt

LLWWWLWW

Lloyd Harris

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 5

Lloyd Harris

Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals

Oct 3

Dane Sweeny

Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals

76³

Oct 2

Evan Zhu

Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round

6⁶7

Oct 1

Semen Pankin

Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 29

Fabian Marozsan

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round

Sep 24

Akira Santillan

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying

Sep 23

Omar Jasika

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 22

Shimizu

LWLLWWWL

Bernard Tomic

Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round

6⁵7

Oct 2

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round

76¹¹

Sep 29

Philip Sekulic

Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 15

Arthur Weber

Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Semifinals

Sep 12

Hiroki Moriya

Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals

76³

Sep 11

Kasidit Samrej

Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round

Sep 9

Aditya Vishal Balsekar

Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 8

Anton Matusevich

Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 18

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ BoltShimizu ahead↓ Shimizu

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–58 matches

Metric	Bolt	Shimizu
Matches won	55%	52%
Sets won	56%	51%
Games won	51%	50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Bolt	Shimizu
ATP Challenger Tour	2	3

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Bolt	Shimizu
Hard	2	3

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Alex Bolt vs Yuta Shimizu FAQ

Yuta Shimizu leads the head-to-head 3–2 over 5 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Prop Research

Player ROI

Travel

Common opponents

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Bolt rivalries

More Shimizu rivalries

Alex Bolt vs Yuta Shimizu FAQ

Who leads the Alex Bolt vs Yuta Shimizu head-to-head?

Who won the last Alex Bolt vs Yuta Shimizu match?

How many times have Alex Bolt and Yuta Shimizu played?

Who leads the Alex Bolt vs Yuta Shimizu head-to-head on hard courts?

When did Alex Bolt and Yuta Shimizu last play each other?