Alex Bolt vs Yuta ShimizuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Yuta Shimizu have met 5 times since 2023; Yuta Shimizu leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Tyler Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Shimizu leads 3–2. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 4 sets to Shimizu's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alex Bolt won at Brisbane 1 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 21/53 | 39% | 19/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 18/25 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 73% | 19/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 2, Shimizu 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Shimizu
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Bolt.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 4, 2026
Brisbane 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 17, 2024
Yokohama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 25, 2024
Nonthaburi 4 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 6, 2024
Burnie 2 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 7, 2023
Tyler Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -52.1% | +8.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.65u | +0.98u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Shimizu's 57%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 64 | W 75 75 |
| Fajing Sun | L 76 36 36 | W 57 64 64 |
| Evan Zhu | W 63 36 63 | L 16 62 36 |
| Aoran Wang | W 63 76 | L 63 57 36 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 26 76 36 | L 36 06 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 63 76 | W 76 62 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | W 63 64 | W 60 57 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Anton Matusevich
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Liam Broady
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jay Friend
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Ryan Colby
M25 Laval · 1st Round
Jul 7
Michael Mmoh
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–53 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.