Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Yuta ShimizuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Yu Hsiou Hsu and Yuta Shimizu have met 3 times since 2023; Yu Hsiou Hsu leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Matsuyama Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Hsu leads 2–1. Across all meetings Hsu has taken 5 sets to Shimizu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yuta Shimizu won at Yokkaichi Challenger (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Ningboo Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.04 or longer, Yuta Shimizu has won 36 of 84 (43%). The price implied 39%, so Yuta Shimizu has beaten it by 4 points.
At 1.72 or shorter, Yu Hsiou Hsu has won 13 of 27 (48%). The price implied 62%, so Yu Hsiou Hsu has fallen 14 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Yu Hsiou Hsu and Yuta Shimizu meet next at the Ningboo Challenger on October 28 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hsiou Hsu | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Yu Hsiou Hsu | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 9/29 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 9/14 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 31/37 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 25/37 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hsiou Hsu 2, Shimizu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hsu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Shimizu
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yuta Shimizu.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 26, 2026
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 10, 2025
Kobe Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 9, 2023
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hsu | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Yu Hsiou Hsu | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hsu | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -47.6% | -16.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.33u | -1.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hsu | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimizu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Hsu's 60%).
| Opponent | Hsu | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Jie Cui | L 26 46 | W 26 60 64 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | L 46 26 | W 76 62 |
| Hiroki Moriya | W 62 63 | W 57 75 76 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 61 61 | W 75 64 |
| Michael Mmoh | L 36 46 | L 67 67 |
| Jay Dylan Hara Friend | W 63 64 | W 62 46 62 |
| Jay Dylan Hara Friend | W 63 64 | W 62 46 62 |
| Justin Boulais | W 75 63 | L 57 16 |
| Murphy Cassone | W | W 67 76 76 |
| Harry Wendelken | L 36 36 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keegan Smith
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Jie Cui
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Olle Wallin
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, TPE-SWE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
James Kent Trotter
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elias Ymer
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · Final
Aug 23
Masamichi Imamura
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 22
Mili Poljicak
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 26
Daisuke Sumizawa
M15 Tanagura · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Max Purcell
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Bernard Tomic
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Arthur Weber
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Hiroki Moriya
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–63 matches
| Metric | Hsu | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 51% |
| Sets won | 53% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hsu | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hsu | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |