Alex Bolt vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Bolt and Sho Shimabukuro have met 4 times since 2023; Sho Shimabukuro leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Tunis in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Shimabukuro leads 3–0. Shimabukuro has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Bolt has taken 3 sets to Shimabukuro's 8. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bolt | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Bolt | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 71% | 32/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 22/58 | 33% | 24/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 53% | 21/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 14/21 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 21/31 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 87% | 41/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 68% | 32/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bolt 0, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Bolt and Sho Shimabukuro are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,574 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 16, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1, 2026
Miami Open presented by Itau
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 29, 2025
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
May 14, 2023
Tunis
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bolt | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Bolt | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 7–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 2.78 |
| ROI % | -61.8% | -19.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.94u | -3.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bolt | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 777 mi · 1,250 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bolt's 50%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Keegan Smith | L 46 46 | L 75 06 36 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 67 | W 63 63 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 63 67 | W 63 64 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 63 64 | W 63 60 |
| Ilia Simakin | L 67 63 16 | W 63 63 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 76 76 | W 64 63 |
| Yibing Wu | W 76 62 | L 36 67 |
| Kokoro Isomura | W 75 63 | W 76 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 | W 64 64 |
| Omar Jasika | W 46 64 61 | W 63 57 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
James McCabe
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
J.J. Wolf
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hugo Dellien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–74 matches
| Metric | Bolt | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 61% |
| Sets won | 56% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bolt | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bolt | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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