Adam Walton vs Alex BoltPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Alex Bolt have met 5 times since 2024; Adam Walton leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Burnie 1 Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Walton leads 4–1. Walton has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 8 sets to Bolt's 3. Their most recent meeting: Adam Walton won at Jiujiang Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Bolt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Alex Bolt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 40% | 21/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 15/34 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 22/38 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 3, Bolt 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 2, 2026
Jiujiang Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 26, 2024
Nonthaburi 4 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 8, 2024
Wuxi Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 1, 2024
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 31, 2024
Burnie 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Bolt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Alex Bolt | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 25/25 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 22/25 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 15/25 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 5/25 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–9 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | -52.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.43u | -3.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Walton has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bolt's 40%).
| Opponent | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 61 63 | W 63 36 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 36 57 | L 76 57 36 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 46 76 61 | W 46 64 76 |
| Yunchaokete Bu | L 26 06 | L 57 26 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 26 06 | L 57 26 |
| James McCabe | W 63 76 | W 75 76 |
| Fajing Sun | W 36 75 64 | L 76 36 36 |
| Andy Andrade | W 64 62 | W 62 46 62 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 67 61 | L 36 36 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 76 67 62 | L 63 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Jesper de Jong
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Ignacio Buse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Nicolas Mejia
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Keegan Smith
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Birmingham Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lukas Neumayer
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–72 matches
| Metric | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 60% |
| Sets won | 49% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
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