Adam Walton vs Alex BoltPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Alex Bolt have met 5 times since 2024; Adam Walton leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Burnie 1 Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Walton leads 4–1. Walton has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 8 sets to Bolt's 3. Their most recent meeting: Adam Walton won at Jiujiang Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Bolt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Alex Bolt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 29/42 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/75 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 15/32 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 67% | 20/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 38/46 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 29/46 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 3, Bolt 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 2, 2026
Jiujiang Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 26, 2024
Nonthaburi 4 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 8, 2024
Wuxi Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 1, 2024
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 31, 2024
Burnie 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Bolt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Alex Bolt | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.39 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -10.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.74u | -1.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Walton and Bolt posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | L 57 26 | L 76 57 36 |
| Yibing Wu | L 67 26 57 | W 76 62 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 63 26 46 | L 06 16 |
| James McCabe | W 63 76 | W 76 76 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 46 76 61 | W 46 64 76 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 26 06 | L 57 26 |
| Andy Andrade | W 64 62 | W 62 46 62 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 67 61 | L 36 36 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | L 26 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Moise Kouame
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Hikaru Shiraishi
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Valentin Royer
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Lloyd Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dane Sweeny
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Zhu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Semen Pankin
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Akira Santillan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Omar Jasika
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–80 matches
| Metric | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 55% |
| Sets won | 52% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
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