Hiroki Moriya vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Rio Noguchi have met 5 times since 2023; Rio Noguchi leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Chengdu in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Noguchi leads 3–2. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 4 sets to Noguchi's 8. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Playford Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 17/32 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/34 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/66 | 37% | 25/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 10/28 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 0, Noguchi 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Noguchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Hiroki Moriya and Rio Noguchi are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 26, 2025
Playford Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2025
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 2, 2023
Sydney Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2023
Playford Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2023
Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moriya | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hiroki Moriya | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | -35.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | -5.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km | 754 mi · 1,213 km |
| Route | VIE → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moriya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Noguchi's 30%).
| Opponent | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Keegan Smith | W 36 76 63 | L 36 64 26 |
| Omar Jasika | L 46 46 | L 26 57 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 46 26 | W 61 64 |
| Colin Sinclair | W 36 75 64 | W 63 63 |
| Maximus Jones | W 63 76 | L 64 16 26 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Charles Broom | L 26 16 | L 26 46 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 26 67 | L 57 63 36 |
| Alex Martinez | W 64 76 | L 16 36 |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | L 26 36 | W 75 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–67 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 55% |
| Sets won | 47% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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