Hiroki Moriya vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Rio Noguchi have met 5 times since 2023; Rio Noguchi leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Chengdu in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Noguchi leads 3–2. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 4 sets to Noguchi's 8. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Playford Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 12/25 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 20/51 | 40% | 24/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 26% | 6/23 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 7/21 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 0, Noguchi 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🛡️ The Spoiler
Noguchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 288 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rio Noguchi.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 26, 2025
Playford Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2025
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 2, 2023
Sydney Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2023
Playford Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 19, 2023
Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moriya | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hiroki Moriya | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -29.4% | -6.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | -0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Noguchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Moriya's 30%).
| Opponent | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Charles Broom | L 26 16 | L 26 46 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 26 67 | L 57 63 36 |
| Alex Martinez | W 64 76 | L 16 36 |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | L 26 36 | W 75 62 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 63 36 | L 67 67 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 64 76 | W 62 76 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 64 26 62 | W 75 64 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | L 26 16 | W 57 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Braden Shick
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Charles Broom
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Andre Ilagan
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–60 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 55% |
| Sets won | 47% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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