Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rio Noguchi and Tung-Lin Wu have met 7 times since 2022; Tung-Lin Wu leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Matsuyama Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Wu leads 4–3. Across all meetings Noguchi has taken 6 sets to Wu's 10. Their most recent meeting: Tung-Lin Wu won at Miyazaki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Noguchi | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rio Noguchi | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 19/33 | 86% | 32/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 24/60 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 66% | 29/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 21/31 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 6/16 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 81% | 35/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 74% | 32/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Noguchi 1, Wu 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noguchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Wu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 31, 2026
Miyazaki Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2026
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 7, 2026
Nonthaburi 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 29, 2024
Seoul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 14, 2023
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 17, 2023
Granby Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 8, 2022
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noguchi | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rio Noguchi | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | -6.1% | -49.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.85u | -3.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Noguchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Wu's 33%).
| Opponent | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hiroki Moriya | W 64 64 | W 62 62 |
| Coleman Wong | L 67 26 | L 26 26 |
| Yosuke Watanuki | W 64 75 | L 36 76 16 |
| Paul Jubb | W 64 46 63 | W 76 26 76 |
| Jake Delaney | W 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Alex Bolt | L 67 67 | L 64 46 67 |
| Harry Wendelken | W 64 26 64 | L 36 63 36 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 57 76 63 | L 36 75 36 |
| Tai Sach | L 62 16 26 | L 57 63 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Braden Shick
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Charles Broom
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Andre Ilagan
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 1
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Taisei Ichikawa
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 19
Coleman Wong
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Alex Rybakov
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Yosuke Watanuki
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Justin Boulais
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Adam Walton
Tyler Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–61 matches
| Metric | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 61% |
| Sets won | 53% | 63% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 4 |
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