Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rio Noguchi and Tung-Lin Wu have met 7 times since 2022; Tung-Lin Wu leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Matsuyama Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Wu leads 4–3. Across all meetings Noguchi has taken 6 sets to Wu's 10. Their most recent meeting: Tung-Lin Wu won at Miyazaki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Noguchi | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rio Noguchi | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 22/37 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 25/67 | 28% | 17/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 68% | 30/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 20/31 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 79% | 33/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Noguchi 1, Wu 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Noguchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Wu
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tung-Lin Wu.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 31, 2026
Miyazaki Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2026
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 7, 2026
Nonthaburi 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 29, 2024
Seoul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 14, 2023
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 17, 2023
Granby Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 8, 2022
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Noguchi | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rio Noguchi | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | -25.9% | -26.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.14u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 754 mi · 1,213 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Noguchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Wu's 40%).
| Opponent | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Rigele Te | W 76 62 | W 64 61 |
| Fajing Sun | W 76 46 76 | L 76 46 67 |
| Hiroki Moriya | W 64 64 | W 62 62 |
| Coleman Wong | L 67 26 | L 26 26 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 67 26 | L 26 26 |
| Paul Jubb | W 64 46 63 | W 76 26 76 |
| Jake Delaney | W 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Alex Bolt | L 67 67 | L 64 46 67 |
| Harry Wendelken | W 64 26 64 | L 36 63 36 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 57 76 63 | L 36 75 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Max Dahlin
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, TPE-SWE 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 20
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Alexander Binda
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Fajing Sun
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Taisei Ichikawa
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 19
Coleman Wong
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–67 matches
| Metric | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 62% |
| Sets won | 53% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Noguchi | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 4 |
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