Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 7 times since 2019; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Auger-Aliassime leads 5–1. Auger-Aliassime has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 11. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 66% | 23/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Auger-Aliassime 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Felix Auger-Aliassime are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 14, 2026
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 1, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 25, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 3, 2024
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 28, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 23, 2020
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bublik's 60%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 76 | W 57 61 76 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 76 46 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 61 61 | W 63 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | L 75 46 63 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 36 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | L 63 75 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 67 75 76 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 75 64 75 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–68 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 68% |
| Sets won | 58% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 3 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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