Alexander Bublik vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Casper Ruud have met 8 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 7–1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Ruud leads 4–1. On clay courts Ruud leads 3–0. Ruud has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Ruud's 15. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 23% | 10/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 85% | 23/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Ruud 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 25, 2023
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
May 14, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 27, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 5, 2022
Davis Cup, Qualifiers, 1R, NOR-KAZ 1-3
H Hard · Rubber 4
Nov 2, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 7, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 9, 2019
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bublik's 60%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 61 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 46 26 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | W 61 62 64 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 67 63 67 61 | W 46 67 64 76 75 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | W 63 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 63 | W 63 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | W 63 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | W 67 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 69% |
| Sets won | 57% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 4 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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