Alexander Bublik vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Casper Ruud have met 8 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 7–1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Ruud leads 4–1. On clay courts Ruud leads 3–0. Ruud has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Ruud's 15. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 20% | 9/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 89% | 24/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Ruud 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Casper Ruud are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 25, 2023
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
May 14, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 27, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 5, 2022
Davis Cup, Qualifiers, 1R, NOR-KAZ 1-3
H Hard · Rubber 4
Nov 2, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 7, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 9, 2019
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | +6.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | +0.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bublik's 40%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 64 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 57 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | W 67 64 108 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 63 76 16 36 | W 46 67 64 76 75 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 61 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 46 26 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | W 61 62 64 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | W 63 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 70% |
| Sets won | 58% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 5 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

