Alexander Bublik vs Alexei PopyrinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Alexei Popyrin have met 5 times since 2018; Alexei Popyrin leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Astana in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Popyrin leads 3–1. Bublik has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Popyrin leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 6 sets to Popyrin's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Popyrin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Alexei Popyrin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 14% | 2/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 42% | 5/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 2, Popyrin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Alexei Popyrin are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 27, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 22, 2024
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 28, 2021
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore
H Hard · Final
Jul 9, 2018
Astana
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Popyrin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Alexei Popyrin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -0.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Popyrin's 40%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | W 63 26 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | L 62 67 67 26 |
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | W 46 63 67 63 64 | W |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | L 75 36 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 63 46 67 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | L 46 26 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 26 06 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 46 | W 62 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 32% |
| Sets won | 58% | 36% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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