Alexander Bublik vs Alexei PopyrinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#16 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5w5 meetings ยท sets 6โ6

๐ฆ๐บAlexei Popyrin
#130 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Alexander Bublik and Alexei Popyrin have met 5 times since 2018; Alexei Popyrin leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at Astana in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Popyrin leads 3โ1. Bublik has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Popyrin leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 6 sets to Popyrin's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Popyrin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Alexei Popyrin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 38% | 5/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 2, Popyrin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Popyrin
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Alexei Popyrin are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 27, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Feb 22, 2024
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 28, 2021
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore
H Hard ยท Final
Jul 9, 2018
Astana
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Popyrin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Alexei Popyrin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 3โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -33.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.70u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 4 |
| Distance | โ | 145 mi ยท 233 km |
| Route | โ | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Popyrin's 33%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | L 75 36 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 63 46 67 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | L 46 26 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 26 06 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 46 | W 62 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Hugo Nys | W 60 63 | W 60 62 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 31% |
| Sets won | 57% | 35% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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