Alex Michelsen vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2024; Alex Michelsen leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Michelsen leads 2–0. Michelsen has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 7 sets to Tsitsipas's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 26, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Michelsen and Tsitsipas posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | W 64 75 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 63 64 | L 57 46 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 62 64 62 | W 64 36 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 36 36 | W 63 36 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 63 16 | L 67 67 |
| Daniel Merida | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 46 | W 63 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 75 67 76 | L 46 57 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 36 62 | W 46 63 62 62 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 62 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 57% |
| Sets won | 56% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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