Alex Michelsen vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAlex Michelsen
#35 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
33 meetings Β· sets 7β2

π¬π·Stefanos Tsitsipas
#43 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
Alex Michelsen and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2024; Alex Michelsen leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Michelsen leads 2β0. Michelsen has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 7 sets to Tsitsipas's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
π₯ Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass Β· 2nd Round
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Sep 26, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β6 | 17β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | +19.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | +4.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN β CHN | JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Michelsen's 60%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 46 | L 46 67 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 76 64 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | W 76 64 63 | W 64 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 | W 26 61 76 61 |
| Lloyd Harris | W 63 63 | W 67 63 76 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | W 64 75 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 63 64 | L 57 46 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 62 64 62 | W 64 36 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 36 36 | W 63 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 Β· Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 Β· Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 58β63 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 62% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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