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Head-to-Head

Alex Michelsen vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex Michelsen

🇺🇸Alex Michelsen

#35 · 22 yrs · R

3
0–3

3 meetings · sets 0–7

Jannik Sinner

🇮🇹Jannik Sinner

#1 · 25 yrs · R

14w

Alex Michelsen and Jannik Sinner have met 3 times since 2024; Jannik Sinner leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 3–0. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 0 sets to Sinner's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMichelsenSinner
Wins in straight sets69%91%
Wins a set when losing33%100%
Goes to a deciding set32%11%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite48%89%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%—
Tiebreak sets won55%80%
Wins after taking set 1100%100%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 179%95%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Sinner 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Michelsen

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Sinner

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Michelsen.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Mar 24, 2026

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 4th Round

57
647
Sinner

Aug 29, 2024

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 2nd Round

46
06
26
Sinner

Aug 14, 2024

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 2nd Round

46
57
Sinner

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMichelsenSinner
W-L13–6-
Avg odds1.81-
ROI %-1.6%-
Units P/L-0.31u-

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMichelsenSinner
Countries2—
Events2—
Matches2—
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km—
RouteJPN → CHN—

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Michelsen's 30%).

OpponentMichelsenSinner
Carlos Alcaraz
L
67
64
16
W
76
63
Frances Tiafoe
L
75
63
57
36
67
W
62
62
Francisco Cerundolo
W
63
64
W
75
61
Jan-Lennard Struff
W
61
36
61
W
75
76
63
Shintaro Mochizuki
W
63
36
62
W
63
76
63
Rafael Jodar
L
67
76
64
36
36
W
62
76
Learner Tien
L
46
63
16
W
61
62
Daniil Medvedev
L
26
46
W
62
57
64
Alexei Popyrin
L
06
64
16
W
62
60
Sebastian Ofner
L
36
36
W
63
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Michelsen
LLLWWWWL
L

Botic van de Zandschulp

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
46

Oct 10

L

Carlos Alcaraz

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

617
64
16

Oct 1

L

Frances Tiafoe

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

75
63
57
36
667

Sep 8

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

766
64
64

Sep 6

W

Daniel Merida Aguilar

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

765
64
63

Sep 5

W

Brandon Nakashima

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
64
64

Sep 2

W

Federico Cina

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
61
60

Aug 31

L

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 16

Sinner
WWWWWWWL
W

Alexander Zverev

Wimbledon - London · Final

677
762
63
64

Jul 12

W

Novak Djokovic

Wimbledon - London · Semifinals

64
64
64

Jul 10

W

Jan-Lennard Struff

Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals

75
764
63

Jul 7

W

Shintaro Mochizuki

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

63
760
63

Jul 5

W

Jenson Brooksby

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

64
63
64

Jul 3

W

Nuno Borges

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

764
762
64

Jul 1

W

Miomir Kecmanovic

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

46
63
667
62
63

Jun 29

L

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

French Open - Paris · 2nd Round

63
62
57
16
16

May 28

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MichelsenSinner ahead↓ Sinner

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–63 matches

MetricMichelsenSinner
Matches won60%95%
Sets won60%89%
Games won53%62%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMichelsenSinner
Grand Slam01
ATP Masters 100002

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMichelsenSinner
Hard03

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Alex Michelsen vs Jannik Sinner FAQ

Jannik Sinner leads the head-to-head 3–0 over 3 meetings.