Alex de Minaur vs Zachary SvajdaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊAlex de Minaur
#7 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
1 meeting Β· sets 3β1

πΊπΈZachary Svajda
#80 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
4Alex de Minaur and Zachary Svajda have met 1 time since 2026; Alex de Minaur leads 1β0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 3 sets to Svajda's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Svajda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Zachary Svajda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 93% | 14/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 73% | 11/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
πͺ Counterpuncher
Svajda
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Zachary Svajda.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Svajda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Zachary Svajda | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β6 | 3β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -45.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -4.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Svajda's 30%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 46 63 16 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | L 26 36 76 67 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | W 26 62 67 64 63 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 57 36 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | L 36 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | W 63 64 36 46 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | L 67 26 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 36 | L 16 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 46 64 | L 26 67 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 46 64 64 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Mattia Bellucci
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kamil Majchrzak
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 15
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 38β74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 55% |
| Sets won | 62% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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