Alex de Minaur vs Valentin VacherotPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Valentin Vacherot have met 1 time since 2026; Valentin Vacherot leads 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 1 sets to Vacherot's 2. Their most recent meeting: Valentin Vacherot won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Vacherot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Valentin Vacherot | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 50% | 21/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 0, Vacherot 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Vacherot
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Valentin Vacherot.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 10, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Vacherot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Valentin Vacherot | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -52.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -2.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Minaur and Vacherot posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 46 76 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | L 36 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | W 76 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 62 26 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 57 63 36 | L 67 64 57 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 64 64 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | L 67 26 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 57 26 16 | L 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 46 64 | W 67 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 57 63 57 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Yannick Hanfmann
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Thomas Faurel
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Emilio Nava
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 63% |
| Sets won | 62% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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