Alex de Minaur vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAlex de Minaur
#7 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ3

๐ฆ๐ทTomas Martin Etcheverry
#31 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
4Alex de Minaur and Tomas Martin Etcheverry have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2023 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 2 sets to Etcheverry's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Martin Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 80% | 24/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 60% | 18/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Martin Etcheverry 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
๐ช Counterpuncher
Etcheverry
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Martin Etcheverry.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 15, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jun 1, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13โ6 | 1โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.41 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -74.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -5.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | USA โ CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Etcheverry's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Arthur Fery | W 75 76 | W 76 61 63 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | L 46 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 61 61 | L 36 46 |
| Jurij Rodionov | W 64 61 | W 62 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 63 36 76 | W 76 67 108 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 57 63 36 | L 26 63 610 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 63 36 105 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | W 76 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Ignacio Buse
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jurij Rodionov
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Rinderknech
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 61โ74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 57% |
| Sets won | 62% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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