Alex de Minaur vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Tallon Griekspoor have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Segovia in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 5 sets to Griekspoor's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Griekspoor 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tallon Griekspoor.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 10, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2023
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 16, 2023
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 4, 2017
Segovia
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +0.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Griekspoor's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W | L 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 16 62 63 | L 46 75 67 |
| Quentin Halys | W 36 76 75 | W 75 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 26 76 119 | W 67 62 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | L 46 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 57 26 | W 62 67 64 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | W 36 64 63 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | L 46 64 57 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 76 76 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Nicolas Mejia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 43% |
| Sets won | 63% | 45% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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