Alex de Minaur vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Tallon Griekspoor have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Segovia in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 5 sets to Griekspoor's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Griekspoor 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tallon Griekspoor.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 10, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2023
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 16, 2023
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 4, 2017
Segovia
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +16.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Minaur's 60%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | W 75 76 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | W 36 64 63 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | L 46 64 57 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 46 | W 67 62 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 76 76 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | L 46 63 26 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | W 64 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 36 76 75 | W 62 67 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | W 63 36 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Sonego
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Edas Butvilas
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Luca Van Assche
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
James Duckworth
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 43% |
| Sets won | 62% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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