Alex de Minaur vs Steve JohnsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Steve Johnson have met 5 times since 2018; Steve Johnson leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Johnson has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 7 sets to Johnson's 7. Their most recent meeting: Steve Johnson won at Washington (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Johnson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Steve Johnson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Johnson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Johnson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Steve Johnson.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2021
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 4, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Aug 1, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 12, 2018
Irving
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 2, 2018
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | - |
| ROI % | -16.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Emilio Nava
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 4
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Los Cabos · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 17
Christopher Eubanks
Dallas · Round of 32
Feb 6
Terence Atmane
Dallas · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 5
Timo Stodder
Dallas · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 4
Michael Mmoh
Charlottesville · Round of 32
Oct 31
Nishesh Basavareddy
Fairfield · Semifinals
Oct 14
Christian Harrison
Fairfield · Quarterfinals
Oct 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 74–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | - |
| Sets won | 62% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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